US-Iran Nuclear Talks Conclude Without Agreement Amid Rising Tensions

Stalemate in Geneva Talks

The latest round of discussions between the United States and Iran regarding Tehran's uranium enrichment program wrapped up in Geneva on Thursday without reaching a consensus. These negotiations, facilitated by Oman, extended for several hours but ultimately failed to yield a significant breakthrough. Iranian state media later indicated that Tehran remains committed to advancing its enrichment activities. Although Oman's Foreign Minister Badr-al-Busaidi mentioned that there was "significant progress in the negotiation," he refrained from sharing specific details, which has heightened concerns about potential conflict in the area.

Next week, lower-level discussions are scheduled to take place in Vienna, where the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) may play a pivotal role in any future agreement. However, Iran has made it clear that it will not alter its position. Reports from Iranian state television suggest that Tehran will continue to seek relief from sanctions, a demand that the US opposes, and will resist the transfer of enriched materials abroad.

Former President Trump is advocating for a deal that would restrict Iran's nuclear endeavors, while Tehran insists on its right to enrich uranium. Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi characterized the recent talks as some of the "most intense and longest rounds of negotiations" the country has engaged in. Esmail Baghaei, spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry, stated that negotiators had put forth "constructive proposals."

Ali Vaez from the International Crisis Group noted that while a breakthrough may not be imminent, the US team's return indicates that there is some common ground between the two nations. However, Washington remains wary of Tehran's motives. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio expressed concerns that Iran is "always trying to rebuild elements" of its nuclear program. He acknowledged that while Tehran is not currently enriching uranium, they are striving to reach a point where they can resume such activities.

In this tense environment, the threat of escalation is palpable. Iran has cautioned that any American military action would render US bases in the region legitimate targets and has also issued threats towards Israel. Araghchi warned of dire consequences, stating, "There would be no victory for anybody - it would be a devastating war." He elaborated that the widespread presence of American bases across the region could lead to a broader conflict, describing the scenario as "very terrible."