Impact of US Tariffs on Apple's iPhone Production in India

US Tariffs and Global Tensions
Since the announcement of reciprocal tariffs by US President Donald Trump on various countries, global tensions have escalated. Recently, Trump issued a warning to Apple's CEO, Tim Cook, regarding a potential 25% tariff on iPhone production in India. However, this decision is unlikely to harm India significantly. Even if the US imposes a 100% tariff on iPhones manufactured in India, it would still be more cost-effective for Apple. Leaving India is not a simple option for Tim Cook. Let's delve into the details.
Apple's Shift to India
Apple aims to reduce its reliance on China for iPhone assembly by shifting production to India. Foxconn, the company responsible for assembling iPhones, continues to invest in India. Understanding the manufacturing dynamics of iPhones is crucial, particularly how much India contributes and why iPhones made in India would remain cheaper even with a 100% tariff from the US.
Understanding iPhone Manufacturing Costs
According to a report from the Global Trade Research Initiative, the manufacturing of a $1,000 iPhone does not occur in a single country; its components are sourced globally. Apple handles the brand, design, and software, costing around $450. Chips are produced in Taiwan for $150, memory chips in South Korea for $90, and camera systems in Japan for $85. American chip manufacturers like Qualcomm and Broadcom add another $80, while smaller contributions from Germany, Vietnam, and Malaysia total approximately $45.
Cost Breakdown of iPhone Assembly
The assembly cost of an iPhone in both India and China is about $30, meaning India's contribution to the iPhone market is roughly 3%. The majority of the profit from iPhones comes from branding and design rather than assembly.
Cost Implications in the US
The assembly cost of an iPhone in India is $30, but this would increase significantly in the US. If Apple shifts assembly from India to the US, it would incur much higher costs. The average salary for a worker in India is around $230 per month, compared to approximately $2,900 in the US. Consequently, the assembly cost that is $30 in India could rise to about $390 in the US, excluding logistics costs.
Impact of Tariffs on iPhone Prices
If Apple agrees to the US's conditions, assembling in India would still be more economical. A 25% tariff would raise the cost from $30 to $37.50. Even with a 100% import tariff, the assembly cost would increase to $60, which is still significantly lower than the $390 cost in the US.
Conclusion: The Viability of Indian Production
The total cost to assemble an iPhone in India is $30. Adding a 100% import tariff would bring the total to $60, which is far less than the average $390 cost in the US. Overall, the threat from the US will have minimal impact on India, as shifting assembly to the US would result in substantial losses for Apple. Therefore, it will be challenging for Tim Cook to halt production in India.