Indian Stock Market Sees Significant Gains as Tensions Ease

On May 15, 2025, India's stock market indices, Sensex and Nifty50, experienced significant gains, closing in the green. The rise is attributed to easing tensions between India and Pakistan, following a ceasefire announcement. However, analysts warn of potential reversals in Foreign Portfolio Investor inflows, influenced by global market sentiments. Experts suggest a shift towards 'Sell India, Buy China' could emerge, despite the current positive outlook. Ajay Bagga, a market expert, highlights the need for new catalysts to sustain momentum. Read on to explore the factors driving these market changes.
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Indian Stock Market Sees Significant Gains as Tensions Ease

Market Performance Overview

On Thursday, May 15, 2025, India's stock market indices, the Sensex and Nifty50, concluded the trading session positively. The Sensex, which tracks the performance of the top 30 companies, jumped by 1,200.18 points, finishing at 82,530.74. Similarly, the Nifty50, representing the top 50 firms, rose by 395.20 points to close at 25,062.10.


Market Opening Trends

The Sensex opened at 81,354.43, reflecting an increase of 23.87 points, while the Nifty50 started at 24,694.45, up by 27.55 points.


Impact of Easing Tensions

The rise in the stock market is attributed to the de-escalation of tensions between India and Pakistan. Both nations announced a halt to military actions and firing along their border. This decision follows a significant rise in tensions after a tragic terrorist attack in Pahalgam that claimed 26 lives. Although the ceasefire is in effect, India continues to enforce stringent measures against Pakistan, including the suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty.


Market Outlook

Despite the positive market movement, analysts have observed a potential reversal in inflows from Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs), which had previously bolstered the market's upward trend. This shift is linked to changing global sentiments, particularly regarding the US-China trade agreement. Experts predict a possible 'Sell India, Buy China' trend in the near future, although some market consolidation may occur in the short term.


Expert Insights

Ajay Bagga, a banking and market expert, commented on the recent market performance, noting that the positive momentum from the US-China trade deal and lower-than-expected US CPI figures had led to a recovery in US markets, which influenced global market trends. However, he indicated that the current rally might be losing momentum as investors seek new catalysts, such as US tax cuts or debt ceiling legislation. He also mentioned that while Indian markets are expected to open positively, the primary support is coming from domestic retail investors rather than FPIs or domestic institutional investors (DIIs).


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