Trump's Mixed Signals on Iran Amid Ongoing Conflict
Conflicting Statements from the US President
In a surprising turn of events, US President Donald Trump has made contradictory statements regarding Iran. Just a day after threatening to "hit and obliterate" Iran's power facilities unless the Strait of Hormuz was reopened, Trump announced on Monday that he sees "major points of agreement" with Tehran. He expressed a desire to communicate with Iranian leaders by phone on March 23 and hopes for an in-person meeting soon. This comes in the wake of a prolonged conflict that has resulted in over 1,000 fatalities, including attacks on educational institutions and hospitals, alongside Trump's assertion of 'no regime change, no talks.'
Before boarding Air Force One, Trump remarked, "We both want to make a deal." However, when asked about his negotiating counterpart, he provided vague responses. He admitted to not having spoken with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who was appointed as Iran's supreme leader on March 9, following the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Trump stated, "I don't want the leader of Iran to be killed. Nobody wants that job right now." He also raised questions about Khamenei's status, saying, "Nobody has heard from him, and we don't know if he is living," during an interview with Fox News.
Trump referred to his Iranian contact as "the most respected" and "the leader," without specifying who it was. It appears that Trump is seeking a way out of the conflict with Iran, which he initiated alongside Israel. Reports indicate that US officials are attempting to identify who in Iran holds the authority to negotiate and finalize a deal.
In contrast, Iranian state media has categorically denied any ongoing discussions, citing a senior security official who claimed that no direct or indirect talks have occurred between Washington and Tehran. They suggested that Trump's recent actions are aimed at reducing energy prices and buying time for military maneuvers. Despite the ongoing conflict, neither side appears to have gained a significant advantage. The International Energy Agency's executive director, Fatih Birol, has warned that the current energy crisis surpasses the oil shocks of the 1970s, with a loss of 11 million barrels per day, exceeding the combined losses from the major oil crises of 1973 and 1979, as reported by NBC News. The death toll across the Middle East has exceeded 2,000, including 13 US service members.
On March 2, IAEA Director-General Rafael Grossi informed the agency's Board of Governors that there is no evidence of a structured program for nuclear weapon manufacturing in Iran, which undermines the primary rationale Trump provided for initiating military action. Iran continues to control the northern shore of the Strait of Hormuz and has not experienced any confirmed loss of territorial control or critical energy infrastructure that would compromise its strategic position in the waterway. Tehran's alleged uranium stockpile remains intact, and its new supreme leader, whether alive or not, has not capitulated.
Trump concluded his remarks by stating that he would disclose who is "getting all the money" once the situation resolves, a typical flourish that suggests he believes a deal is already in the works. As the conflict drags on, with 13 American lives lost and oil prices soaring above $100, the two parties remain at an impasse regarding their communications.