Political Shifts in Assam: The Rise of a Potential Third Front
Emerging Political Dynamics in Assam
File image of AITC candidate from Mandia & sole party winner Sherman Ali Ahmed (Photo: Sherman Ali Ahmed/Meta)
Guwahati, May 9: As tensions rise within Assam's opposition coalition following the recent Assembly elections, discussions about a potential third political front led by Akhil Gogoi of Raijor Dal are gaining momentum.
These conversations have become more pronounced after a public dispute between Congress and Raijor Dal regarding their electoral outcomes, seat-sharing strategies, and campaign coordination issues.
Adding to the speculation, Sherman Ali Ahmed, the only victorious candidate from the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) in the 2026 Assam Assembly elections, stated that any decision about joining a potential third front would be made by the party's top leadership.
“I cannot comment on the TMC’s involvement in a third opposition front. The final decision will be taken by party chief Mamata Banerjee,” Ahmed remarked.
When asked if he personally felt the need to support or join a front led by Akhil Gogoi, Ahmed remained non-committal.
“I cannot make a comment on that as I have not received any proposal till now. The decision made by our party leadership will be the final call,” he explained.
Speculation about a third front challenging both Congress and BJP intensified after Raijor Dal leader Abdur Rashid Mandar indicated that efforts were underway to establish an alternative opposition platform in Assam, uniting parties like the Aam Aadmi Party and AITC ahead of future elections.
“Our alliance with Congress will not last forever. We have not received the support and treatment expected from an alliance partner. A clear decision will be made soon,” he stated.
Mandar also mentioned that groundwork for the proposed regional front would commence shortly, focusing on the 2031 Assam Assembly elections.
In light of the growing discussions about political realignment, the Mandia MLA criticized Congress, accusing them of organizational shortcomings and internal strife during the elections.
“The main opposition in Assam is the Congress party. They failed to execute the groundwork that was necessary,” Ahmed asserted.
He further noted that minority voters in Assam primarily supported Congress not due to individual candidates but as a political reaction against the BJP.
“Over the years, people in minority areas have voted for Congress to shield themselves from the BJP government’s oppression. They did not focus on candidates; they voted for the hand symbol to escape BJP's control,” he stated.
Ahmed cautioned Congress against taking its traditional minority support for granted.
“If Congress thinks they will always receive such votes, they are mistaken. People will seek alternatives,” he warned.
Ahmed himself experienced a significant political shift before the elections. After leaving Congress, he initially joined Raijor Dal but was later dropped as a candidate due to seat-sharing changes within the opposition coalition. He subsequently joined the Trinamool Congress and won his seat.
The post-election discord between Congress and Raijor Dal continues to escalate, with leaders from both sides publicly attributing blame for the opposition alliance's failure to effectively contest the BJP-led NDA in various constituencies across Assam.