Election Results Anticipated After Month-Long Voting Across Four States and One Union Territory

With a month-long election process concluding across four states and one union territory, the anticipation for results is palpable. Exit polls indicate significant shifts in power, particularly in West Bengal, where the BJP aims to break through TMC's stronghold. In Assam, the BJP is projected to maintain its dominance, while Tamil Nadu and Kerala show potential changes in political leadership. The entry of actor Vijay in Tamil Nadu has stirred the political waters, potentially impacting established parties. As the nation awaits the final results on May 4, the political landscape is set for dramatic changes.

By Narendra Chaudhary Apr 30, 2026, 10:06 IST

Overview of Election Results

After a month-long marathon of elections spanning four states and one union territory, all eyes are now on the results. The trends from exit polls have emerged, indicating significant shifts in power dynamics across several states. In Assam, the BJP appears to be solidifying its hold, while West Bengal presents a nail-biting contest that adds to the suspense. The entry of actor Vijay in South India has completely altered the political landscape.

Exit Poll Insights for West Bengal

West Bengal remains the focal point of suspense, as the BJP has framed this state as a battleground crucial for its ambitions. Since 2014, the BJP has been attempting to penetrate Mamata Banerjee's stronghold. Four exit polls suggest that the BJP might succeed this year, projecting it could secure between 146 to 175 seats.

Conversely, two survey agencies predict a resounding victory for the TMC for the fourth consecutive time. People's Pulse forecasts 177-187 seats for the TMC, while Janmat Poll estimates 195-205 seats for the party, which has been in power for 15 years.

The BJP's rise in the state has been rapid; in 2016, it held only three assembly seats, but within five years, it climbed to 77 out of 294 seats. In the 2021 elections, the BJP garnered 38.1% of the votes, establishing itself as the main opposition.

BJP's Campaign Strategy

This time, the BJP has invested significant resources to win Bengal. Prime Minister Narendra Modi toured the state, conducting over 20 rallies, visiting temples, and even stopping for the local delicacy, Jhalmuri. Home Minister Amit Shah camped in the state for 15 days.

The BJP's campaign is expected to focus on issues like corruption, unemployment, women's safety, and welfare, aiming to penetrate TMC's strongholds.

A critical factor that BJP leaders are banking on is the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of the voter list, which has led to the removal of 9.1 million names, potentially disadvantaging the TMC.

Assam's Exit Poll Predictions

In neighboring Assam, surveyors unanimously agree that the BJP will retain power for a third consecutive term. The exit poll predicts that the BJP, led by Himanta Sarma, will secure 88 seats in the 126-member assembly. The Congress, under its new state chief Gaurav Gogoi, is projected to win around 27 seats.

If these numbers hold on the results day (May 4), Himanta Sarma, who has campaigned on welfare outreach and governance issues, will return for a second term. The BJP's slogan has been 'Jati, Mati, Bheti' (Community, Land, Home), while Congress has attempted to leverage an anti-incumbency wave to oust the BJP.

Tamil Nadu and Kerala Exit Polls

In Tamil Nadu, exit polls predict a win for MK Stalin's DMK, estimating around 130 seats out of 234. The AIADMK, forming a broad alliance with NDA and others, is expected to secure about 65 seats.

This projected outcome marks a significant decline for both Dravidian parties compared to the 2021 elections, where the DMK-led front won 159 seats, with the DMK alone taking 133 seats, while the AIADMK alliance ended with 75 seats.

Actor Vijay's entry with his party, Tamilaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK), is seen as a major factor influencing the elections, with surveys indicating that his party could win 31 seats by tapping into the established voter bases of both DMK and AIADMK.

Axis My India stands out among surveyors, predicting 98-120 seats for Vijay. The head of Axis My India, Pradeep Gupta, likened Vijay's rise to that of MGR in Tamil Nadu and NTR in Andhra Pradesh.

Since entering politics in 2024, Vijay has positioned himself as a strong anti-corruption candidate, particularly appealing to young and urban voters.

Kerala's Political Landscape

Most exit polls suggest that Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, who has been grappling with a decade-long anti-incumbency wave, may pave the way for the Congress-led UDF. One survey estimates the UDF could secure 77 seats, while the Left Front is projected to win 55 seats.

If these numbers hold, it would be a significant blow for Vijayan, often referred to as 'Mundu Udatha Modi' (Modi in Mundu), and the Left, as Kerala is the only state where the Left Front is in power. A loss would mean the erasure of 'red' from India's political map.

For Congress, this would be a major relief following consecutive defeats in Bihar, Delhi, Maharashtra, and Haryana. The UDF has recently won not only in the state but also in the local body elections leading up to the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. All eyes are now on May 4.