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US and Saudi Arabia Forge Major Nuclear Cooperation Agreement

The United States and Saudi Arabia have signed a pivotal civilian nuclear cooperation agreement, establishing a framework for long-term collaboration in nuclear energy. This deal, which could last for decades and be worth billions, aims to enhance energy security and create jobs in the US. However, it raises concerns regarding potential nuclear weapons development and the absence of stringent safeguards. As Congress prepares to review the agreement, questions about its implications for regional stability and nonproliferation efforts remain at the forefront. Discover the key aspects of this significant agreement and its potential impact on international relations.
 

Overview of the Nuclear Agreement

The United States has entered into a significant civilian nuclear cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia, known as a 123 agreement, alongside a bilateral safeguards agreement. This milestone was marked by the signatures of US Energy Secretary Chris Wright and Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman. As stated by the US Department of Energy, these agreements lay down a legal framework for enduring peaceful nuclear collaboration, emphasizing nuclear safety, security, and nonproliferation. This deal, projected to span decades and potentially worth billions, will be forwarded to Congress for a 90-day review.


1. Understanding the US-Saudi Nuclear Agreement

The agreement sets the foundation for civilian nuclear collaboration between the US and Saudi Arabia. The Department of Energy indicates that it grants American firms priority access to Saudi Arabia's nuclear energy initiatives, enabling them to provide nuclear reactors and fuel while addressing the kingdom's energy requirements. The administration anticipates that this partnership will generate high-paying jobs in the US, enhance nuclear technology exports, bolster energy and national security, uphold global nonproliferation standards, and strengthen the strategic relationship between Washington and Riyadh.


2. Implications for Saudi Arabia's Nuclear Program

Insiders suggest that this agreement may allow Saudi Arabia to pursue uranium enrichment capabilities for its civilian nuclear program. It is also likely to involve US companies in establishing the kingdom's commercial nuclear power sector and could lead to the development of a uranium enrichment facility following a joint study with the US. However, a memo from the administration indicates that the agreement merely provides a legal framework for cooperation on the nuclear fuel cycle and does not obligate the US to transfer uranium enrichment or other fuel-cycle technologies to Saudi Arabia. Furthermore, the US does not endorse a Saudi nuclear weapons initiative.


3. Concerns Over Nuclear Weapons Development

This agreement is designed for peaceful civilian nuclear cooperation, and US officials assert that it adheres to stringent nuclear safety, security, and nonproliferation standards. Nonetheless, the deal has sparked concerns due to the absence of "gold standard" provisions that would prevent Saudi Arabia from enriching uranium or reprocessing nuclear fuel. Additionally, it does not mandate Saudi Arabia to adopt the International Atomic Energy Agency's Additional Protocol, which facilitates more comprehensive inspections and verification. Some lawmakers and nonproliferation experts warn that these gaps could open avenues for future weapons development. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has previously stated that Saudi Arabia would pursue nuclear capabilities if Iran were to develop a nuclear weapon. However, the administration maintains that the agreement is confined to peaceful nuclear cooperation under the Atomic Energy Act and includes nonproliferation measures.


4. Congressional Scrutiny of the Agreement

The agreement is now set for review by Congress, where it is likely to face intense scrutiny regarding its safeguards. Representative Brad Sherman has expressed that Congress should only endorse the agreement if it incorporates the same "gold-standard" restrictions found in the US nuclear agreement with the United Arab Emirates. He contends that a US administration aiming to curb nuclear proliferation in the Middle East should not support an agreement that could heighten proliferation risks. Nuclear proliferation expert Matthew Bunn from Harvard's Kennedy School of Government has also indicated that this agreement could complicate future negotiations with Iran, as Iran may be less inclined to accept rigorous inspections of its nuclear program if Saudi Arabia is not subjected to similar oversight.


5. Next Steps for the Agreement

The agreement will be sent to Congress for a 90-day review period. If it receives approval, it will establish a long-term civilian nuclear partnership between the United States and Saudi Arabia, granting American companies priority access to the Saudi nuclear market while supporting the kingdom's civilian nuclear energy goals. This agreement is anticipated to be worth billions and aims to enhance US nuclear exports while reinforcing commercial and strategic ties between the two nations.