US and Israel Intensify Military Actions Against Iran: A Complex Geopolitical Landscape

The conflict between the US and Israel against Iran has intensified, with military actions aimed at dismantling Iran's nuclear capabilities and altering its regime. Despite initial successes, experts warn that achieving a regime change will require ground forces, as the IRGC remains a powerful obstacle. The anticipated civilian uprising following the death of Ayatollah Khamenei has not materialized, raising questions about the effectiveness of the current strategy. This article delves into the complexities of the situation, examining the objectives and challenges faced by the US and Israel.

By Narendra Chaudhary Mar 8, 2026, 17:44 IST

Escalation of Conflict Between US, Israel, and Iran

The ongoing conflict involving the United States and Israel against Iran has reached a critical point. Warnings from former President Donald Trump about a potential large-scale military response if Tehran did not comply with demands to dismantle its nuclear program have materialized. Both the US and Israel have long asserted that Iran, which they label a 'terrorist regime,' must not be permitted to develop nuclear capabilities. Their recent military actions aim to ensure that Iran, currently possessing over 440 kilograms of uranium enriched to more than 60%, according to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), cannot advance its nuclear ambitions.

Objectives of the Joint Offensive

The joint offensive against Iran has many objectives:

To prevent Iran from pursuing nuclear weapon development.
To remove Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei from power.
To dismantle the current regime and facilitate a government change.

While the first two goals may have seen some success, achieving regime change remains a significant challenge for both the US and Israel. Experts suggest that while airstrikes can damage the regime, they are unlikely to effectuate a change in governance without ground forces.

Challenges of Regime Change

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), with an estimated 150,000 to 190,000 active personnel and a 600,000-strong Basij paramilitary force, poses a formidable challenge. This elite military unit operates alongside Iran's regular army and plays a crucial role in the nation's political and economic landscape. Experts argue that without a direct military presence on the ground, the prospect of regime change remains elusive.

Expectations for Iranian Civilian Response

US-Israel Are Hoping Iranians To Rise But They Aren’t Armed

From the onset of this conflict, both Israel and the US have urged the Iranian populace to rise against their government. However, analysts point out that while civilians may support the offensive, they lack the means to confront the well-armed IRGC. The reality is that a successful regime change would necessitate military engagement, a strategy that has yet to be pursued by the US and Israel.

Trump's Stance on Ground Troops

What Trump Said on Sending US Soldiers on Ground

Recently, President Trump indicated that he would not dismiss the possibility of deploying ground troops in Iran if deemed necessary. He stated, "Unlike previous Presidents, I do not rule out boots on the ground." However, he emphasized that any such action would require a compelling justification.

Current Status of the Conflict

Who is Winning the Iran War So Far?

As the conflict progresses, it remains uncertain who will ultimately prevail. Analysts suggest that while the US and Israel have achieved initial military objectives, the broader goal of regime change will require ground combat.

Lack of Civilian Uprising Following Khamenei's Death

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's Killing Fails To Convert into Youth Uprising

The assassination of Ayatollah Khamenei has not sparked the anticipated civilian uprising, primarily due to the lack of arms and organization among the populace. Any attempt at rebellion could lead to significant civilian casualties, reminiscent of past protests that resulted in brutal crackdowns by the regime.

According to an Israeli analyst, the recent military actions by the US and Israel could fundamentally alter the dynamics of the conflict, but the entrenched nature of the Iranian regime, particularly the IRGC, complicates any potential for change.