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Historic Voter Turnout in Israel's Elections: A Tight Race Between Netanyahu and Eisenkot

In a historic election, Israel sees unprecedented voter turnout, with over 56% of eligible voters participating by 4 PM. Prime Minister Netanyahu faces a close contest against former army chief Gadi Eisenkot. As the nation grapples with key issues like security and governance, the outcome could significantly shape Israel's political landscape. With Arab citizens poised to influence the results, the elections are viewed as a referendum on Netanyahu's leadership amid ongoing public protests and demands for accountability. The official results are expected on November 4, but early indications will emerge soon.
 

Record Voter Engagement in Israeli Elections


Jerusalem: In a significant turnout, approximately 56% of eligible voters had cast their votes by 4 PM on Tuesday, marking the highest participation rate in Israel's electoral history. This election sees a close contest between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his main opponent, former army chief Gadi Eisenkot.


Polling commenced at 7 AM local time and will conclude at 10 PM, with 7,331,981 eligible voters able to vote at 12,018 polling stations across the nation.


The Central Elections Committee reported that by 4 PM, 55.7% of voters had participated, a notable increase from 47.5% at the same time during the 2022 elections. This is the highest turnout recorded at this hour since measurements began in 1973.


Dean Livne, acting director general of the Central Elections Committee, noted that over 4 million ballots had been cast by that time.


Cities with the highest voter turnout included Modiin at 60.7%, followed by Tel Aviv at 50.5%, Jerusalem at 47.7%, and Haifa at 46.3%, as reported by The Times of Israel.


"Long lines are expected at many polling stations. High turnout naturally leads to queues," Livne stated.


"We assure that everyone will have the opportunity to vote. If there are lines at 10 PM, polling stations will remain open until all who arrived by that time have voted. There’s no need for concern," he added.


The military reported a voter turnout of 68% among Israeli soldiers by 5 PM, compared to 65% during the same hour in the previous election.


Soldiers began voting a week prior to the national election, with 850 polling stations set up at military bases both within Israel and abroad.


Netanyahu, who has served as Israel's longest-serving prime minister, along with his wife Sara, voted at a polling station in Jerusalem, as per his office's announcement.


In a bid to rally right-wing voters, Netanyahu urged them to "wake up" and support his Likud party to prevent the formation of a government led by Arab parties, echoing strategies from his 2015 campaign.


He warned his supporters in a video that Arab voters in the south were "hurrying to the polls."


"You must go out and vote," he emphasized, urging them to act quickly.


Official election results are expected to be released on November 4, with preliminary indications likely available by Wednesday.


Several parties, including Eisenkot's Yashar and Bennett's B'Yachad, have reported irregularities such as missing or damaged ballots, as noted by The Times of Israel.


However, the Central Elections Committee stated there is no evidence of widespread ballot tampering.


"Contrary to online claims, there are currently no signs of systematic tampering with ballots," the committee clarified, adding that individual reports are being promptly addressed.


Current opinion polls suggest a close contest between Netanyahu's Likud party and the opposition led by Eisenkot, with neither side guaranteed a majority in the 120-member Knesset.


Netanyahu, 77, is striving to maintain his position following three years of conflict and increasing calls for accountability regarding the October 7, 2023, attack.


Eisenkot, 66, has emerged as a significant challenger, drawing public sympathy due to personal losses during the war, including the deaths of his son and two nephews while serving in the military.


Demonstrations have seen hundreds of thousands of Israelis protesting the government's handling of the war and demanding accountability.


Netanyahu has resisted calls for an independent inquiry into the failures surrounding the October attack.


US President Donald Trump has publicly endorsed Netanyahu ahead of the elections, urging Israelis to support him.


Arab citizens, who constitute about 21% of Israel's population, could significantly impact the post-election landscape, with their turnout potentially influencing the balance of power.


Reports indicate long lines and slow identification processes in Arab communities.


Pollsters anticipate Arab turnout could rise to around 63%, compared to approximately 53% in 2022.


The Arab-led Joint List and Ra'am, led by Mansour Abbas, are contesting separately. The Joint List comprises Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, while Ra'am operates as an independent Islamist party.


Despite not running as a single list, their leaders are working to enhance Arab voter participation and influence in government formation.


Voter turnout in the 2022 elections was slightly above 70%. Pollsters predict it could soar to 87% this time, with significant Arab participation.


Local media reports indicate that around 80,000 Israelis living abroad returned recently solely to vote, viewing these elections as pivotal for the country's future.


Israel does not permit voting from abroad, except for those serving in diplomatic missions.


Among foreign service workers at embassies and consulates outside Israel, voter turnout reached 90%, significantly higher than the usual 70%.


The election outcome will hinge not only on which party secures the most seats but also on whether either political faction can form a coalition with at least 61 lawmakers.


These elections are largely perceived as a referendum on Netanyahu's leadership.


Key issues include security, judicial reforms, the secular-religious divide regarding national service, ethnicity, and economic concerns.


At a rally in Tel Aviv on Saturday, demonstrators called for a state commission of inquiry into security failures, with organizers claiming over 100,000 attendees.


Significant military failures have historically altered the political landscape in Israel.


Following the 1973 Yom Kippur War, the ruling Labour-led Alignment lost power in 1977 for the first time in 29 years, paving the way for Likud's rise under Menachem Begin and greater political representation for Mizrahi Jews.


Mizrahi refers to Jews of Middle Eastern and North African descent, while Ashkenazi pertains to Jews with historical roots in Central and Eastern Europe.


This distinction has played a crucial role in Israeli politics, particularly regarding the longstanding support for Likud among many Mizrahi voters, who have historically voiced grievances over discrimination.


Likud has traditionally garnered substantial backing from Mizrahi and traditional Jewish voters, despite many of its prominent leaders, including Netanyahu, having Ashkenazi backgrounds.


Another significant issue is the divide between secular Israelis and the ultra-Orthodox community regarding military service.


While most Jewish Israeli men are required to serve in the military, Haredi men studying in religious seminaries have historically received broad exemptions.


The ongoing war has intensified public resentment over the unequal burden of military service, with the military facing manpower shortages and reservists being repeatedly called up for extended periods. Meanwhile, ultra-Orthodox parties continue to seek to maintain exemptions for religious students and funding for their institutions.