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Challenges Facing Gwadar Port Amidst Rising Global Attention

Gwadar Port is gaining renewed global attention, but it faces numerous challenges that threaten its viability. A Chinese meat-processing company has closed its factory due to an unmanageable business environment, highlighting the difficulties investors may encounter. While recent statistics show a surge in container traffic, this increase is largely due to external crises rather than strategic advancements. The port's limitations, including depth issues and economic constraints, raise questions about its future. Additionally, security concerns and geopolitical pressures complicate the landscape for international businesses. This article delves into the complexities surrounding Gwadar Port and its uncertain prospects.
 

Gwadar Port's Dilemma


Gwadar is once again in the spotlight of international media. While Pakistan promotes its recent traffic achievements in the port city, the Hangeng Trade Company, a Chinese meat-processing firm operating in the North Free Zone of Gwadar, has announced the closure of its factory. This decision stems from an unmanageable business climate and obstacles that have left their export shipments stranded. This announcement sends a clear warning to potential investors, especially as Pakistan strives to attract interest in its burgeoning market.


Statistics regarding Gwadar's performance are indeed striking. In April 2026, the port processed over 11,000 shipping containers in a single month, a stark contrast to the approximately 8,300 containers handled throughout 2025. Pakistani officials herald these results as groundbreaking, but this claim warrants further examination.


The surge in container traffic at Gwadar is not due to strategic advancements but rather a crisis elsewhere. Following a joint US-Israeli military operation against Iran on February 28, Iran restricted access to the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a US blockade of Iranian ports starting April 13. This situation prompted cargo carriers to seek alternative routes.


On April 25, the 'Transit of Goods through Territory of Pakistan Order of 2026' was enacted, based on a bilateral agreement between Pakistan and Iran from 2008 concerning international road transport. This agreement was utilized when the Strait of Hormuz became less navigable.


However, once stability returns to the Strait of Hormuz, the current dynamics at Gwadar may falter. The cargo processed at Gwadar does not enter Pakistan's domestic market; instead, it is temporarily stored before being shipped elsewhere. Thus, Gwadar functions more as a logistics hub than a trade center, capitalizing on a crisis in another nation.


Technological limitations also play a significant role. Although Gwadar port was designed to have a depth of 14 meters, it currently struggles to maintain this due to high maintenance costs, with the actual depth around 12.5 meters. Consequently, vessels with drafts of 13 to 14 meters cannot dock at Gwadar. The only deep-water port in Pakistan remains Port Qasim in Karachi, which has a depth of 16 meters.


Additionally, Gwadar faces siltation issues, making depth maintenance financially burdensome for the already strained Pakistani government. Plans to deepen the port with additional berths along a 4.2-kilometer shoreline have reportedly stalled.


From an economic perspective, when COPHC processes a container at Gwadar, 91% of the revenue goes to the port's owner, a Chinese company, leaving only 9% for Pakistan. Discussions surrounding the increasing traffic at Gwadar often overlook the fact that the majority of profits are still directed to China rather than Pakistan.


The security situation has deteriorated recently, with the Baloch Liberation Army establishing its 'Hammal Maritime Defence Force' and executing its first attack on Pakistan Coast Guards in the Jiwani area of Gwadar on April 13, resulting in three fatalities. This escalation indicates a shift in the group's strategy to target maritime operations.


Throughout the region, the risk premium for shipping has surged to 1%, compared to a mere 0.2% before the conflict escalated. The emergence of local militant groups attacking vessels further complicates the situation for shipping companies.


Moreover, Pakistan's foreign policy adds another layer of uncertainty for international businesses. The overland bypass route for Iranian cargo has allowed it to circumvent the Hormuz blockade, drawing the attention of Washington, which views this route as a means for Iran to evade US sanctions. Consequently, Pakistan finds itself caught between Chinese demands to maintain the CPEC route and American pressure to refrain from facilitating sanctions evasion for Iran.


The northern route is also impacted, as Pakistan engages in military confrontations with Afghanistan. The 'Ghazab lil-Haq' operation, initiated by the Pakistani army against the Taliban, marks a significant escalation, with the Defense Minister declaring an 'open war' against Afghanistan. The ceasefire established in March has been repeatedly violated, further complicating access to the northern route.


The closure of the Chinese factory in Gwadar serves as a cautionary tale for potential investors regarding the risks associated with projects in the Gwadar free zone. Collectively, these factors, along with the temporary reasons behind the port's increased activity, cast doubt on the long-term viability of Gwadar. The port faces challenges in accommodating large container ships, threats from emerging maritime militias, a blocked northern route due to conflict, and a revenue-sharing model that heavily favors the Chinese company.