Are the US and Iran on the Brink of a Historic Agreement to End the War?
Potential Breakthrough in US-Iran Relations
Islamabad: Recent discussions indicate that the United States and Iran may be nearing an agreement on a memorandum of understanding aimed at concluding the ongoing conflict. This information was shared by two regional officials and a diplomat on Saturday, amidst considerations of a new wave of US military actions against Iran.
Iran has indicated a 'narrowing of differences' in its negotiations with the US, following talks held in Tehran by Pakistan's army chief. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, speaking to reporters in India, noted that 'progress has been made' and hinted at possible announcements later in the day.
Sources suggest that a final decision on the draft prepared by Pakistan could be reached within 48 hours, as both parties review the document. The officials, who requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the discussions, expressed cautious optimism.
Key figures in the negotiations, including Vice President JD Vance and envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, have played crucial roles in bridging the remaining gaps. Additionally, Qatar has contributed by dispatching a senior official to Tehran to bolster Pakistan's mediation efforts.
Despite the progress, both Iran and the US have reiterated their fundamental positions and cautioned against the risks of resuming hostilities.
Iran's Perspective on the Agreement
According to Iran's state television, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei characterized the draft as a 'framework agreement' and emphasized the need for it to encompass key issues necessary for ending the conflict. He stated that discussions on the details would take place over a reasonable timeframe of 30 to 60 days, leading to a final agreement.
Baghaei mentioned that the Strait of Hormuz is one of the critical topics under consideration.
He noted that there has been a recent trend towards resolving differences, stating, 'We will have to wait and see what unfolds in the next three or four days.'
Importantly, Baghaei clarified that nuclear issues are not part of the current discussions, as Tehran aims to resolve the war before addressing its nuclear program, which has been a longstanding source of international tension.
'Our current focus is on ending the war across all fronts, including Lebanon,' he added, highlighting that the lifting of sanctions on Iran is explicitly included in the draft and remains a non-negotiable position.
Rubio, while in New Delhi, remarked that 'work is ongoing' and suggested that an announcement could be imminent, whether later that day, the following day, or within a few days.
He reiterated the US stance that Iran must not possess nuclear weapons and must relinquish its highly enriched uranium, while also ensuring the Strait of Hormuz remains open.
Iran has reportedly rebuilt its military capabilities following weeks of conflict and a fragile ceasefire, as stated by parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf after his meeting with Pakistan's Field Marshal Asim Munir.
Ghalibaf, who was the lead negotiator in recent historic talks with the US, warned that any resumption of attacks by US President Donald Trump would lead to consequences that would be 'more crushing and more bitter' than the initial stages of the war.
Trump's Position on Military Action
Previously, Trump indicated that he had postponed military action against Iran due to 'serious negotiations' taking place, responding to requests from allies in the Middle East. He has frequently set deadlines for Tehran, only to retract them later.
The conflict escalated following US and Israeli attacks on February 28, which disrupted negotiations with Iran. In retaliation, Tehran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway for the region's oil and gas, causing significant global economic repercussions.
In response, the US imposed a blockade on Iranian ports, with the US Central Command reporting that American forces have intercepted over 100 commercial vessels and disabled four since the blockade commenced on April 13.
During his visit to Tehran, Pakistan's army chief also engaged with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, President Masoud Pezeshkian, and other senior officials, as Islamabad continues to facilitate a second round of direct negotiations.
It remains uncertain whether Munir met with Brig. Gen. Ahmad Vahidi, the head of Iran's paramilitary Revolutionary Guard, who has been instrumental in shaping Iran's firm stance in the negotiations.