Kerala Exit Polls Indicate Shift in Power Ahead of May Elections

As Kerala approaches its assembly elections, exit polls indicate a potential shift in power from the current LDF government led by Pinarayi Vijayan to the UDF. Various surveys predict that the UDF could secure a significant majority, while the LDF may face substantial losses. The BJP's efforts in the state seem to have had little impact, with projections showing minimal seat gains. The official election results are set to be announced on May 4, making this a crucial moment in Kerala's political landscape.

By Narendra Chaudhary Apr 29, 2026, 20:25 IST

Predictions for Kerala's Political Landscape

Recent exit polls suggest that the government led by Pinarayi Vijayan in Kerala may be losing its grip on power. Most polls indicate a defeat for the Left Democratic Front (LDF), while the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is projected to secure a majority. Despite the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) intensifying its efforts in the state, its performance appears to be underwhelming, with projections showing it may not even reach double digits. However, it is important to note that these are merely exit polls, and the official results will be announced on May 4. Kerala's assembly comprises a total of 140 seats, with a majority requiring 71 seats.

Axis My India: This poll estimates that the LDF could win between 49 to 62 seats, while the UDF is expected to secure between 78 to 90 seats. The BJP may gain 0 to 3 seats.

Materize: According to this survey, the UDF is projected to win 70 to 75 seats, with the LDF expected to secure 60 to 65 seats. Other parties may win between 5 to 9 seats.

People's Pulse: This survey indicates a favorable outcome for the UDF, which could win between 75 to 85 seats out of 140. The LDF is projected to secure 55 to 65 seats, while others may win 0 to 3 seats.

P-Mark: The UDF is expected to win between 71 to 79 seats, while the LDF may secure 62 to 69 seats. Other parties could win between 1 to 7 seats.

JVC: The UDF could form a government by winning between 72 to 84 seats, while the LDF may be limited to 52 to 61 seats. Other parties are projected to win between 3 to 7 seats.

Chanakya Strategies: This poll estimates that the UDF may secure between 72 to 80 seats, with other parties potentially winning 3 to 7 seats. The LDF is projected to win between 58 to 64 seats.