Exit Polls Indicate Strong BJP Performance Across Five States

Recent exit polls reveal a strong lead for the BJP in five states, with projections suggesting significant victories in Assam, West Bengal, and Puducherry. In Kerala, the UDF is expected to regain power after a decade, while Tamil Nadu's political landscape may be disrupted by actor Vijay's party. As the elections approach, these insights provide a glimpse into potential outcomes and shifts in power dynamics across the regions. Read on for detailed projections and analysis.

By Narendra Chaudhary Apr 29, 2026, 21:51 IST

BJP Expected to Dominate in Exit Polls

Recent exit polls suggest that the BJP is poised for a significant victory in five states. Most polls indicate that the BJP alliance is likely to form the government in Assam, West Bengal, and Puducherry. Except for one poll, the DMK is projected to return to power in Tamil Nadu, while Kerala may witness a major shift after ten years, with the UDF potentially regaining control.

Assam: BJP's Projected Landslide Victory

According to Axis My India, the BJP is forecasted to secure between 88 to 100 seats, while Congress may capture 24 to 36 seats. JVC's survey also predicts a BJP win in 88 to 101 seats, with Congress possibly winning 23 to 33 seats. The AIUDF is expected to gain 0 to 2 seats, with others likely to secure three seats.

People's Pulse estimates the BJP alliance could win 68 to 72 seats, while Congress and its allies might achieve 22 to 26 seats. The Matterize survey suggests the NDA could win between 85 and 95 seats, with Congress's coalition projected to win 25 to 32 seats. Assam's assembly consists of 126 seats, with a majority requiring 64.

Kerala: Pinarayi's Exit and UDF's Majority

Several surveys indicate that Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government in Kerala may be coming to an end. Axis My India forecasts that the UDF, led by Congress, could win between 78 to 90 seats, while the ruling LDF may be reduced to 49 to 62 seats. The BJP alliance is expected to secure 0 to 3 seats. People's Pulse also anticipates a UDF comeback, projecting 75 to 85 seats for them, 55 to 65 for the LDF, and 0 to 3 for the NDA.

The Matterize survey similarly indicates a UDF government forming, with projections of 70 to 75 seats for UDF and 60 to 65 for LDF, while the BJP alliance might gain 3 to 5 seats. Kerala's assembly has a total of 140 seats, with a majority threshold of 71.

West Bengal: BJP Gains Ground, TMC Faces Setback

Exit polls suggest that Mamata Banerjee may face a significant setback in West Bengal after one and a half decades. Almost all surveys indicate a lead for the BJP, with Matterize predicting 146 to 161 seats for them and 125 to 140 for the ruling TMC. P-Mark estimates the BJP could secure between 150 to 175 seats, while TMC may win 118 to 138 seats. The total assembly seats in Bengal are 294, with a majority requiring 148.

Tamil Nadu: Will Vijay Disrupt the Political Landscape?

In Tamil Nadu, all exit polls except for Axis My India predict a return of the DMK government. People's Pulse estimates that the DMK alliance could win between 125 to 145 seats, while the AIADMK-BJP alliance may secure 65 to 80 seats. Actor Vijay's party, TVK, is projected to win 18 to 24 seats.

According to the Matterize survey, the DMK alliance might achieve between 122 to 132 seats, while the NDA could secure 87 to 100 seats. Vijay's party is expected to win 10 to 12 seats in its first election.

Puducherry: A Tight Race Ahead?

In Puducherry, the NDA is expected to lead in the 30 assembly seats. Axis My India forecasts the NDA could win 16 to 20 seats, while the DMK-Congress alliance may secure 6 to 8 seats. Vijay's party is projected to win 2 to 4 seats. However, Kamakhya Analytics suggests that a DMK alliance government is likely, with projections of 17 to 24 seats for them, 4 to 7 for the NDA, and 1 to 3 for others.