Predictions Indicate BJP's Strong Return in Assam Elections

As Assam approaches its elections, exit polls indicate a strong likelihood of the BJP returning to power for a third consecutive term. Predictions suggest that the BJP-led alliance could secure a significant number of seats, outperforming Congress, which may struggle to maintain its previous standing. With actual results due on May 4, the political landscape in Assam is poised for a dramatic shift. This article delves into various surveys and their implications for the upcoming elections.

By Narendra Chaudhary Apr 29, 2026, 19:45 IST

BJP Poised for a Third Consecutive Term in Assam

The BJP is likely to secure a majority in Assam for the third consecutive time, according to various exit polls. These polls suggest that the BJP-led alliance is expected to achieve a significant victory, showing improved performance compared to the 2021 elections. In contrast, the Congress party appears unable to maintain its previous standing. However, it is important to note that these are merely predictions, with the actual results set to be announced on May 4.

Survey Insights

According to the surveys, the BJP is anticipated to form the government independently. Out of a total of 126 seats, the BJP alliance is projected to win between 85 and 95 seats, while Congress may secure only 25 to 32 seats. Other parties are expected to gain between six and twelve seats.

Chanakya Strategies Analysis

The Chanakya Strategies survey also predicts a third term for the BJP in Assam. Under the leadership of Himanta Biswa Sarma, the BJP alliance is estimated to win between 98 and 99 seats, while Congress may capture 22 to 32 seats, with other parties likely to obtain 3 to 5 seats.

Poll Diary Overview

This survey indicates a strong government formation for the BJP. Out of the 126 assembly seats in Assam, the BJP alliance is expected to win between 86 and 101 seats. Congress may struggle, potentially winning between 15 and 26 seats, while other parties could secure 3 to 7 seats.