Gold Prices Decline Amid Federal Reserve's Policy Insights
Market Overview
Photo: @ians_india/X
Mumbai, July 11: Gold prices experienced a weekly decline of 1.47%, influenced by the Federal Reserve's recent policy meeting minutes that heightened expectations for prolonged elevated interest rates.
Current Market Prices
On Friday, the MCX gold futures for August remained stable, while MCX silver futures for July saw a slight increase of 0.01%.
As of the last trading session, gold futures were priced at Rs 1,43,480, and silver futures at Rs 2,22,680 per kilogram.
The price for 10 grams of 24-carat gold was recorded at Rs 1,43,368 on Friday, a decrease from Rs 1,45,512 at the start of the week, according to the India Bullion and Jewellers Association (IBJA).
Geopolitical Factors and Economic Indicators
Heightened tensions in the Middle East have kept risk premiums for precious metals elevated, but indications of a stricter US monetary policy have limited price increases.
Recent military actions by the United States against Iran have led to retaliatory strikes on US bases, with President Trump declaring the ceasefire effectively over and warning of potential further military actions and sanctions.
The stronger dollar has also posed challenges for the recovery of precious metals.
Federal Reserve Insights
Minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest meeting revealed that inflation is proving to be more persistent than previously thought, affecting various sectors beyond just energy and tariffs, including transportation and services, according to an analyst.
"These minutes support the notion that the Federal Reserve may continue with a higher interest rate policy, with officials suggesting that additional tightening could be necessary if inflation does not decrease," the analyst noted.
Earlier predictions of easing inflationary pressures were based on lower energy costs and slower job growth.
Resistance and Support Levels
For COMEX Gold, immediate resistance is identified at the $2,200–$2,230 range, followed by $2,350–$2,400. In the case of MCX Gold, immediate resistance is at Rs 1,45,000–Rs 1,45,500, with significant support at Rs 1,41,000–Rs 1,40,000.
For MCX Silver, immediate resistance is noted at the Rs 2,26,000–Rs 2,27,000 zone, while the immediate support zone is at Rs 2,21,000–Rs 2,20,000.